Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.012107 0.014740 0.018056 0.022640 0.028980 0.037712 0.051174
2025-02-23 0.008818 0.011710 0.015850 0.022534 0.033767 0.053517 0.095808
2025-03-02 0.006937 0.009681 0.013919 0.021461 0.035944 0.066596 0.154396
2025-03-09 0.005844 0.008464 0.012751 0.020999 0.038725 0.083242 0.257358
2025-03-16 0.005206 0.007793 0.012252 0.021488 0.043690 0.110811 0.503146
2025-03-23 0.004664 0.007165 0.011661 0.021552 0.047753 0.142140 1.023809
2025-03-30 0.004125 0.006448 0.010743 0.020600 0.048622 0.164401 1.874380
2025-04-06 0.003733 0.005933 0.010115 0.020117 0.050670 0.197298 4.333848
2025-04-13 0.003502 0.005676 0.009946 0.020692 0.056661 0.269079 24.715455
2025-04-20 0.003378 0.005601 0.010135 0.022261 0.067788 0.428380 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003223 0.005442 0.010110 0.023248 0.077839 0.660536 NaN
2025-05-04 0.003024 0.005170 0.009784 0.023246 0.083560 0.912007 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002820 0.004893 0.009464 0.023402 0.092050 1.452709 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002621 0.004606 0.009085 0.023287 0.099747 2.387012 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002400 0.004249 0.008473 0.022166 0.099832 3.181748 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002236 0.003994 0.008073 0.021683 0.104361 5.178589 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002131 0.003856 0.007951 0.022193 0.118260 14.321274 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002020 0.003692 0.007732 0.022260 0.129213 48.163532 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001883 0.003456 0.007287 0.021266 0.128357 100.639828 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001776 0.003278 0.006978 0.020761 0.132538 557.098368 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001714 0.003199 0.006929 0.021361 0.151992 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.001686 0.003195 0.007090 0.023002 0.193234 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.001642 0.003146 0.007114 0.024034 0.232745 NaN NaN